Climate Change: Fuzzy logic points to big changes in crop suitability

29 March, 2011 by (comments)

The tropics and sub-tropics could lose up to one-fifth of arable land due to climate change, a new study has found.

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Researchers at the University of Illinois looked at different emissions scenarios to predict global land-use changes as a result of global warming, using “fuzzy logic modelling” to get around uncertainties in land classification.

They found that regions of South America, Africa, and Asia would see major changes in crop suitability. Meanwhile, relatively higher-latitude countries such as Russia, China, and the US could enjoy big increases in land suitable for crop production.

The findings are published in the journal Environmental Research Letters.

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Filed Under: Climate Change